Polling Evidence indicates that Maine voters will approve the return of marriage equality in November.
The most recent poll, by the Maine People’s Resource Center, shows a clear majority of voters supporting legal recognition of gay marriage in Maine, by a margin of 58% to 39%. This shows an increase in support, compared with two earlier recent polls from March and December, which showed winning margins of 54/41 and 54/42, respectively. It is also a marked increase on the support in polling before the vote to overturn marriage equality, in 2oo9.
At least as significant as the extent of support, is the depth and strength of support. In marked contrast with earlier years when it was the opponents who were more fired up, and felt strongly on the issue, a substantial plurality of voters (44%), say that they are strongly in favour of re-instating the law. Just 28% are strongly opposed.
Do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose
allowing same-sex couples to be legally married in Maine?
Total favor: 58.2 Total oppose: 39.2
A Public Polling Policy survey released last month also found a majority (54%) of Maine voters in favor, while 41 percent said gay marriage should remain illegal.
Support for the institution among Democrats has increased 7 percentage points since 2009, from 71 percent to 78 percent, the PPP survey found. Support has also grown among independents, from 52 percent to 57 percent. Republican support, however, remains where it was three years ago.
The polls come on the heels of the announcement that the Diocese of Maine will not campaign against the referendum. Instead, the Roman Catholic church will teach Catholics about how it defines marriage.
With polling evidence so heavily against them, it’s not surprising that the Catholic diocese is not rushing in to raise and spend church money on this, the second time around. Nobody likes to back a losing horse.
- Poll: National Support for Marriage Equality Soars (queeringthechurch.com)
- NH Voters Oppose Gay Marriage Repeal (itsaqueerworld.blogspot.com)